Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 152.201177 174.128620 198.560857 227.883333 262.225400 301.299333 349.303884
2025-11-23 120.581307 148.663396 182.732171 227.416882 284.935968 357.097382 455.446461
2025-11-30 103.361583 134.267112 174.079274 229.737112 306.510515 410.115125 562.960965
2025-12-07 87.853584 118.776785 160.496266 221.801920 311.129033 438.959003 640.182455
2025-12-14 77.750764 108.783018 152.351899 219.220159 321.478920 475.690929 733.155180
2025-12-21 71.206892 102.756380 148.681803 222.031154 339.336414 525.142100 853.179620
2025-12-28 67.433777 100.188155 149.527070 231.385610 368.078897 595.219561 1019.013735
2026-01-04 63.295034 96.510436 148.098635 236.679740 390.534491 657.714764 1182.558253
2026-01-11 58.239305 90.816952 142.777603 234.721450 400.060067 698.685197 1313.173780
2026-01-18 55.270486 88.142576 141.989962 240.212103 423.200608 767.319346 1510.429910
2026-01-25 51.565769 83.869486 138.043613 239.561183 434.762947 815.452174 1674.493136
2026-02-01 49.380840 81.944395 137.882780 245.656810 459.796807 893.621978 1919.159828
2026-02-08 46.078578 78.097905 134.516324 246.473379 476.884238 963.290762 2173.142438
2026-02-15 42.832954 74.085188 130.516338 245.754259 491.212280 1030.870081 2443.150583
2026-02-22 40.373897 71.238068 128.329698 248.280845 512.717693 1118.443306 2788.111979
2026-03-01 36.845525 66.059547 121.157589 239.615600 508.181104 1144.445628 2975.611663
2026-03-08 34.357428 62.623726 117.016804 236.797188 516.456426 1203.015528 3272.071892
2026-03-15 32.735419 60.708391 115.686809 239.865856 539.006987 1302.005839 3719.349940
2026-03-22 31.946078 60.354399 117.473423 250.081132 580.618430 1459.933260 4405.523571
2026-03-29 30.787651 59.144414 117.341907 255.864665 612.089663 1597.249834 5073.842491
2026-04-05 29.037505 56.563696 114.034374 253.725161 622.565146 1676.952463 5568.841471
2026-04-12 28.090019 55.578813 114.090411 259.724443 655.990238 1832.641597 6408.287041
2026-04-19 26.694687 53.521912 111.570929 259.013137 670.708336 1934.116973 7077.030758